Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.003209 0.003365 0.003523 0.003697 0.003883 0.004076 0.004292
2025-04-06 0.002939 0.003170 0.003417 0.003698 0.004013 0.004354 0.004753
2025-04-13 0.002685 0.002951 0.003239 0.003579 0.003968 0.004404 0.004932
2025-04-20 0.002562 0.002858 0.003187 0.003583 0.004049 0.004583 0.005250
2025-04-27 0.002491 0.002816 0.003184 0.003636 0.004180 0.004820 0.005640
2025-05-04 0.002381 0.002721 0.003112 0.003600 0.004198 0.004916 0.005857
2025-05-11 0.002292 0.002645 0.003056 0.003577 0.004227 0.005022 0.006087
2025-05-18 0.002211 0.002574 0.003002 0.003552 0.004248 0.005116 0.006301
2025-05-25 0.002179 0.002559 0.003014 0.003607 0.004370 0.005339 0.006693
2025-06-01 0.002117 0.002506 0.002976 0.003596 0.004405 0.005449 0.006935
2025-06-08 0.002053 0.002447 0.002927 0.003567 0.004415 0.005524 0.007131
2025-06-15 0.001981 0.002375 0.002859 0.003512 0.004385 0.005543 0.007247
2025-06-22 0.001916 0.002311 0.002801 0.003467 0.004368 0.005580 0.007392
2025-06-29 0.001875 0.002276 0.002778 0.003468 0.004413 0.005703 0.007667
2025-07-06 0.001790 0.002182 0.002675 0.003358 0.004302 0.005601 0.007604
2025-07-13 0.001757 0.002154 0.002658 0.003362 0.004347 0.005722 0.007879
2025-07-20 0.001743 0.002151 0.002673 0.003410 0.004456 0.005938 0.008308
2025-07-27 0.001699 0.002105 0.002630 0.003377 0.004446 0.005980 0.008468
2025-08-03 0.001661 0.002068 0.002598 0.003357 0.004454 0.006046 0.008668
2025-08-10 0.001624 0.002031 0.002564 0.003333 0.004456 0.006103 0.008856
2025-08-17 0.001616 0.002033 0.002582 0.003384 0.004568 0.006331 0.009334
2025-08-24 0.001587 0.002004 0.002559 0.003373 0.004588 0.006418 0.009581
2025-08-31 0.001553 0.001969 0.002525 0.003347 0.004583 0.006465 0.009762